Mavericks vs. Warriors prediction, odds: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Game 2 best bets from model on 87-59 run

The Dallas Mavericks will look to even up the 2022 Western Conference finals when they visit the Golden State Warriors for Game 2 on Friday. Golden State is the highest-scoring team in the 2022 NBA playoffs and it put up 112 points on Dallas in Game 1, en route to a 25-point blowout victory. The Warriors are 7-0 at home this postseason, while the Mavericks are 3-5 on the road. Andre Iguodala (neck) and Gary Payton II (elbow) remain out for the Warriors.

Tipoff is set for 9 p.m. ET from Chase Center in San Francisco. Golden State is a six-point home favorite in the latest Mavericks vs. Warriors odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under for total points scored is set at 213.5. Before locking in any Warriors vs. Mavericks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the conference finals round of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 87-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Mavs vs. Warriors, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Warriors vs. Mavs:

  • Mavericks vs. Warriors spread: Golden State -6
  • Mavericks vs. Warriors over-under: 213.5 points
  • Mavericks vs. Warriors money line: Golden State -260, Dallas +210
  • Mavericks vs. Warriors tickets: See tickets at StubHub
  • DAL: Mavericks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Friday games
  • GS: Warriors are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven conference finals games

Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks

Why the Warriors can cover

Guard Klay Thompson is lights out from 3-point land and thrives in big-time games. Thompson is a catch-and-shoot threat with outstanding range. The five-time All-Star also plays sound defense with a knack for steals. Thompson is averaging 19.9 points, 4.5 rebounds and 1.1 steals per game. In Game 1, he dropped 15 points, five boards and four assists.

Guard Jordan Poole joins the “splash brothers” — Thompson and Steph Curry — in the backcourt. Poole is yet another ball-handler in the backcourt with the ability to create his own shot as well as find his teammates. The Michigan product knows how to attack his man and keep the pressure on the defender. Poole is averaging 19.3 points and 4.7 assists per game.

Why the Mavericks can cover

Dallas is due for positive regression after its worst-shooting game of the postseason in Game 1. The Mavs had playoff-lows for field-goal percentage, 3-point percentage and free-throw percentage, so their stats should revert closer to the norm for Game 2. The Warriors also had a two-day rest advantage for Game 1 but both teams will enter Friday’s action after just one day of rest. Dallas covers in 59 percent of its games after one day off, while Golden State covers in just 50 percent of its games after one day of rest.

Luka Doncic is poised for a huge Game 2 based on what he’s done after previous subpar playoff games. Doncic scored 20 points in Game 1 which was his fifth career postseason game with fewer than 25 points. In the contests following those four previous games, Doncic has averaged 42 points to go along with 11.5 rebounds and 11 assists. A much more effective and engaged Doncic would tip the scales in favor of Dallas, who covered in three of four regular-season games versus Golden State.

How to make Mavericks vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 213 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits in nearly 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavericks vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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