Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Game 6 bets from model on 86-58 run

The Minnesota Timberwolves aim to bounce back from a close-fought loss on Friday evening in the 2022 NBA playoffs. Minnesota faces a 3-2 series deficit in the first round against the Memphis Grizzlies after dropping Game 5 by a 111-109 margin. The Wolves host Game 6, with the Grizzlies seeking a win that would end the best-of-seven series. Minnesota reports no injuries, with Steven Adams (protocols) ruled out for Memphis. Ziaire Williams (knee) is listed as doubtful for the Grizzlies.

Tipoff is at 9 p.m. ET in Minneapolis. Caesars Sportsbook lists Memphis as the one-point road favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 229 in the latest Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves odds. Before you make any Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the second full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Grizzlies vs. Wolves and just revealed its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and playoff betting lines for Grizzlies vs. Wolves:

  • Grizzlies vs. Wolves spread: Grizzlies -1 
  • Grizzlies vs. Wolves over-under: 229 points 
  • Grizzlies vs. Wolves money line: Grizzlies -120, Wolves +100
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 4-5-1 against the spread in the last 10 games 
  • MINN: The Wolves are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games

Featured Game | Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Memphis is enjoying offensive success in the series after posting a top-five offensive efficiency mark in the NBA this season. The Grizzlies are dominating the offensive glass, securing more than 30 percent of missed shots, and Memphis is averaging 34.0 free throw attempts and 26.2 assists per game. Dating back to the regular season, the Grizzlies led the NBA in offensive rebound rate, second-chance points, fast break points and points in the paint. 

On defense, the Grizzlies have been even better, posting a defensive efficiency mark of 105.8 points allowed per 100 possessions against the Wolves. Memphis is forcing 19 turnovers per game and holding Minnesota to only 1.2 assists for every turnover. The Grizzlies led the NBA in both blocks (6.5 per game) and steals (9.8 per game) during the regular season, with top-10 marks in field goal percentage allowed, 2-point percentage allowed, overall turnover creation and points allowed per possession.

Why the Timberwolves can cover

The Wolves are performing quite well in the series, especially when compared to traditional No. 7 seeds. Minnesota is shooting 38.8 percent from 3-point range on offense, and the Wolves are making full use of the free throw line. They are taking 28.4 free throw attempts per game, an elite figure, and converting more than 83 percent of those shots. That boosts overall efficiency, and Minnesota is moving the ball well in assisting on 63.1 percent of field goals. 

The Wolves have upper-echelon shot creators in Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards, and Minnesota ranked in the top eight of the NBA in offensive efficiency, offensive rebounding, assists per game, second-chance points, free throw attempts and fast break points during the regular season. The Wolves also led the league in 3-pointers, making 14.8 per game, and Minnesota also has defensive strengths. Minnesota is blocking 8.4 shots per game in the series, and the Wolves ranked in the top three of the league in turnover creation, blocks per game and steals per game during the regular season.

How to make Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 222 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Timberwolves vs. Jazz pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Grizzlies vs. Wolves? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Grizzlies vs. Wolves spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out. 

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